Within the overseas trade market there are three forex pairs which are generally known as the “commodity currencies,” that are the USD/CAD, AUD/USD and the NZD/USD. The explanation for this nickname is that the economies of Canada, Australia, and New Zealand are largely based mostly on their commodity markets (akin to oil, timber, and agriculture) and through instances of financial duress it’s common for merchants to maneuver their cash from the US greenback into these currencies to try to hedge any potential losses. Because of the nature of those three forex pairs in addition to their common market buying and selling quantity, they will current a novel alternative for basic merchants.
Because of the excessive quantity of liquidity for a forex pair such because the EUR/USD (which is probably the most extremely traded forex pair on the planet), a big purchase or promote order within the billions is often simply absorbed into the market with out a big impact on the present trade price ranges. These three commodity forex pairs, nonetheless, have a lot decrease day by day buying and selling quantity than the Euro vs the US greenback, and so an analogous order of an equally giant dimension may have a a lot bigger impact on the trade price. Now whereas it’s true that every one forex pairs are going to have merchants who place their trades based mostly on technical indicators, a disproportionately great amount of buying and selling exercise within the commodity currencies is event-driven, that means that it’s prompted by a basic announcement of some form.
Canada, Australia, and New Zealand all have there personal monetary establishments and central banks, and every of them additionally has a handful of financial coverage companies that launch reviews on a quarterly or month-to-month foundation. If there’s a important announcement by any considered one of these companies (akin to a change within the present rates of interest), or an financial report comes out with an important diploma of variance from expectations, this could immediate a big and fast quantity of shopping for or promoting stress into the given forex. However when such financial reviews come out in the USA (since every of those forex pairs has a USD element) this could immediate shopping for and promoting stress throughout all three of those pairs.
Since value motion in these forex pairs is of a basic event-driven nature, this could imply two essential issues for merchants seeking to capitalize on these actions: fast adjustments in bullish or bearish sentiment will create fast value actions which may current a superb day buying and selling alternative, and in addition these fast adjustments also can create value gaps which may briefly lower liquidity, improve spreads (relying in your software program platform), and create potential value slippage conditions. The teachings to be discovered listed here are that these three “commodity forex” pairs have a larger-than-normal response to basic bulletins, and that almost all merchants are making their purchase and promote choices on an event-driven foundation which suggests swift value actions and good day buying and selling alternatives.